Speaking on international affairs is a requirement for a potential presidential candidate. And Obama may be one.
Obama, a charismatic politician, would be the first African-American president if he were elected.
Obama would have to get the Democratic nomination which may not be easy. The major opponent would be Hillary Clinton who is most likely going to run.
Yet, Obama would be a strong competitor. A graduate of Harvard with a law degree, he won his senate seat in landslide, receiving 70% of vote.
He is recognized as having given an electrifying speech at Democratic National Convention in 2004. He’s been on the cover of Time Magazine and his books are best sellers. He can claim he did not support the now unpopular Iraq war since he was absent when the U.S. Senate voted its approval.
In the Democratic primary he’d be a tough challenger of Hillary Clinton because the New York Senator has been moving toward the center as she tried to shed her image as an ultra liberal.
The primary election always requires a more partisan position and in the case of the Democratic primary Obama would be well positioned at the progressive wing of the party that would have a significant impact. In particular, African-Americans who make a considerable part of the voting Democrats in the primary, would tend to support Obama.
Yet, Obama also has some areas which some people view as drawbacks. He’s only been in the U.S. Senate for only two years and making the jump to the White House at a very young age of 47 (he’s 45 now) would be unusual. He has very limited experience in international affairs.
Even these drawbacks are not insurmountable when you look beyond the surface. The limited experience in the Senate can be a positive since he has not accumulated a number of votes which could be used against him in the campaign.
The lack of international experience may not be a drawback and it certainly did not stop George Bush in going from governor of Texas to the White House.
Although he is not as well known as Hillary Clinton, he does not generate the high negatives that may hold back the former first lady.
As to his age, in 2008 he’d be one year older than Bill Clinton when he was elected president.
Obama may decide to wait for the next opportunity to run for president which could come in 2012 or 2016. But timing can be vital.
Running for president in 2008 could be very favorable since there will not be an incumbent president. The field is wide open in both the Democratic primary and the general election.
Some polls put Obama at the number two spot behind Hillary Clinton and ahead of “old” timers such as Al Gore, John Kerry, and John Edwards who have been nominated and lost to George Bush in 2000 (Gore) and 2004 (Kerry and Edwards).
In modern times two African Americans ran for president. Jesse Jackson and more recently Al Sharpton. Neither got very far. Obama can go far.
He may choose not to run in 2008 and wait until he’s built a more substantive record. However, if he decides to run, he’d have a good chance at getting the Democratic nomination. But even if he were to lose to Hillary Clinton, he might get picked as vice-presidential candidate and at the current age of 45 he’d still be young enough to run in future presidential elections. Whatever the case, Obama could very well be the first member of a minority group to become president of the U.S.
© Domenico Maceri